¿Será 2026 el tercer año más caluroso registrado?

17%chance

Sí USD 0.17

No USD 0.83

This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data. Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc. If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies. This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

Volumen

$12.0 k MXN

Cierre

31 dic 2026

Operaciones

Comentarios

📈 Gráfico de probabilidad

Historial de precio

Sí.17

No.83

💬 Chat en vivo

Chat en vivo· 6 mensajes

DR
DR8h
Quem tem dados melhores?
RT
RT8h
Próximas semanas vão definir
DR
DR3h
Próximas semanas vão definir
MS
MS3h
Tô analisando, ainda não decidi
BL
BL2h
Que evento esse, vai ser interessante
JP
JP18m
Apostei nesse e tô segurando

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En vivo· se actualiza cada 5s

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IN
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📅 Cronograma y pagos

Mercado abierto
23 may 2026, 5:38 a.m.
Mercado cierra
Tras el resultado·31 dic 2026, 1:00 a.m.
Pago proyectado
Hasta 24h tras el cierre

Este mercado cierra automáticamente en 31 dic 2026, 1:00 a.m. si el resultado aún no se conoce.

Sí17¢No83¢