¿No ocurrirá ninguna reunión diplomática válida EE.UU.-Irán antes del 30 de junio de 2026?

43%chance

Sí $0.426

No $0.574

Este mercado se resolverá según el país en el que the next diplomatic reunión entre government representatives of Estados Unidos y Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate reunión entre representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity y are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge y authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) y must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. If the next diplomatic reunión entre government representatives of Estados Unidos y Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”. If the next diplomatic reunión entre government representatives of Estados Unidos y Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”. For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries y Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe y Eurasia” será considerado to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East y North Africa)” será considerado to be in the Middle East. If the next diplomatic reunión entre government representatives of Estados Unidos y Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”. If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”. If a qualifying meeting ocurre en more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Estados Unidos y Iran, y a consensus of credible reporting.

Volumen

MXN 18,4 k MXN

Cierre

30 de jun de 2026

Operaciones

Comentarios

📈 Gráfico de probabilidad

Historial de precio

Sí.43

No.57

💬 Chat en vivo

Chat en vivo· 37 mensajes

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En vivo· se actualiza cada 5s

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PP
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📅 Cronograma y pagos

Mercado abierto
23/05/2026, 5:38 a. m.
Mercado cierra
Tras el resultado·30/06/2026, 2:00 a. m.
Pago proyectado
Hasta 24h tras el cierre

Este mercado cierra automáticamente en 30/06/2026, 2:00 a. m. si el resultado aún no se conoce.

Sí43%No57%